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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • Stress is relative to your own personal conditions. It’s not absolute. A tech executive might have a nice house and financial security, but if he’s working 80 hours/week under intense pressure to meet some deadline, that’s still stressful. Nobody wants to be perceived as a failure at work, even if their personal financial consequences for failure are minimal.

    Your argument seems to imply it’s impossible to feel stress if you’re comfortable in life. Even the poorest Americans can count on access to food, clean running water, electricity, internet, etc. For most of humanity’s existence, and still today in some parts of the world, these would be considered enormous luxuries, so anyone with access to them would be seen as extremely comfortable in life. Clearly though, people can still be stressed out despite having access to these sorts of things that most of history would consider luxurious.

    Stress is relative, not absolute.


  • Looks like the markets are pretty apathetic to the news today. Economists had expected 225K jobs added, so the 209K is a little below expectations, but not a huge miss. Unemployment remains at a very healthy 3.6% mirroring the pre-pandemic landscape with one of the lowest rates in decades.

    I wonder how much of this low unemployment is demographic. Aside from the pandemic, the last decade has been marked by increasing Baby Boomer retirements (in 2023, the youngest Boomers turn 59, and the oldest are 77). While that large cohort is leaving the workplace, the cohorts behind it are smaller (in relative terms, not absolute terms), so there are more roles to fill with fewer people to fill them. That allows employees to be choosier when looking for jobs, which has been great for the average worker.




  • Why? You should let each post stand on it’s own merit.

    First, account age is silly for Lemmy, as almost 100% of people on here will have an account creation date in June 2023 or later because this place was a ghost town before Reddit decided to kill the APIs. A month from now, is someone with an August 2023 join date automatically presumed to be a troll, or are they just someone making the switch from Reddit a month later than everyone else?

    As for karma, neither negative karma nor positive karma really tell you anything about the poster:

    For instance, people can make good faith arguments advocating for conservative political opinions, but because the user base skews pretty far left here, those arguments will be downvoted. A discussion forum that bans opposing viewpoints is useless, and the echo chambers on Reddit are something I’d love to avoid here.

    Similarly, it’s also possible to effortlessly build positive karma. Simply copy/paste highly rated comments from the last time a common repost appeared on the feed, and chances are, your copy/pasted comments will get upvoted too. You can even automate it with a bot.

    Karma meant nothing at Reddit, and moderators shouldn’t be using it for decisionmaking purposes. It’s useful for ranking posts and comments, but anything beyond that isn’t helpful.


  • In what context?

    In the insurance world, you sometimes see the phrase “L+ALAE Ratio” to refer to the ratio of (losses + expenses) divided by premium. It’s a way to measure profitability for a book of insurance business: how many dollars of loss and expense do you have to pay per dollar of premium earned? Lower is better, and you don’t want that ratio too much higher than 100%, because that means premiums aren’t high enough to cover losses (though investment income can sustain small underwriting losses).

    I could see “L+” used as shorthand for “L+ALAE” or “L+ALAE+ULAE,” though admittedly, I’ve never seen that specific shorthand used.







  • The past 15 years of growth in anything technology adjacent has been fueled by one thing: Extremely cheap debt. Interest rates have at been rock bottom since the 2008 crisis, and they’ve only started to tick up recently. That means the ability to fund infinite growth for basically nothing, so tech companies have relied heavily on debt financing.

    Now though, that’s no longer viable. Silicon Valley Bank was very heavily involved with all these tech companies, and it went insolvent in March largely because of rising interest rates. They held a lot of long term bonds at low interest rates. In normal conditions, rising interest rates mean lower bond prices and unrealized losses, but not a major problem because they can just hold them to maturity and never realize the loss. Bank runs forced SVB to sell the bonds for huge losses though, turning unrealized losses into realized losses, and a non-issue into a major problem.

    Now that cheap debt is gone, these tech companies are desperately scrambling to attain profitability. It hasn’t been discussed much, but this is a big reason for the changes at both Twitter and Reddit.


  • That’s why it has to be done today. At the moment, Jerboa instantly crashes when trying to access Lemmy, which will definitely scare away new users. My understanding is that this is because Lemmy.World is on version 17, but Jerboa requires instances to be on version 18 or higher. If successful, I believe this would fix the instant crash issue, so we’ll at least have an Android app working again.

    Hopefully, these are just growing pains symptomatic of a site trying to deal with rapid growth and rapid improvements.


  • The specific numbers matter a lot though. If a comprehensive transit system is only 15% of the cost of a stadium, the transit system is a no brainer. In reality, that $150M needs to be more like $100B to be remotely realistic (for context, the 11 station Silver Line extension of the DC Metro deep in the Virginia suburbs cost roughly $7B). Doing some super quick back-of-the-napkin math to extrapolate that cost for 11 stations to the total system size of 98 stations, we arrive at $62B for the whole thing if built from scratch today. That $62B is an understatement though because it ignores that construction costs in DC proper will be higher than for the Silver Line extension that ran in the median of a highway in the suburbs.

    With a realistic estimate for the cost of the transit system, the decision making changes completely. It’s certainly not a no-brainer anymore.


  • Came here to say this too. My benchmark is the Silver Line extension in the Virginia suburbs outside DC. For those unfamiliar, the project added an additional 11 stations in two phases opening in 2014 and 2022. The vast majority of the route takes place deep in suburbia where land prices are cheaper than in DC itself. The route is also almost entirely in the highway median for the Dulles toll road, which means they already had the right-of-way. It’s certainly not a comprehensive system, but rather, a small extension of a much larger system. Total price tag for phase 1+2 combined was $6-7 billion before adjusting for inflation to today.

    $150M will get you nothing. It’s a lot of money to an individual person, but it’s a rounding error to the municipal budget of a large city. I know this is just a meme, but the math is off by a factor of 100 to 1000.