• CosmicSploogeDrizzle@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago
    • Die in a few weeks? No
    • Get more users than reddit? No
    • Be a place in the long run for privacy minded people to escape corporatism and have discussions about any topic? Yes
    • treadful@lemmy.zip
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      1 year ago

      Let’s be real, most of the growth of Reddit over the last 5 or so years haven’t been the type of folks generating good content and discussion anyway. Even if Lemmy gets like 1% of the userbase this place is going to thrive.

    • burgersc12@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      I see a ton of support, thousands are making the jump and dozens of apps are being made/getting updated now. Seems Lemmy/Kbin will only grow from here as long as there’s no major setbacks

      • Vaggumon@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Glad to hear it. I deleted 2 accounts with over 100k karama, and moved fully to Lemmy. I’m here to stay as well. Reddit is dead to me.

        • jay@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          100%, 12 year daily reddit user - feels like I’m out of a bad relationship. I moved all my third party apps off three weeks ago and have replaced all my time with Lemmy and the Fediverse.

          I didn’t realize how poorly the experience had degraded - scrolling content mindlessly, most interactions were dull and sometimes weirdly antagonistic.

          Conversely, my experience on Lemmy has been interesting content with more depth, connecting with people in a warm and welcoming way. I don’t expect this to become reddit - I wouldn’t really want it to.

          I am excited for a future here as the third party apps are removed last this week and we can start a new adventure together.

          • Candelestine@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Even if this does become reddit, here at lemmy.world, just move to a different Instance, block lemmy.world, and boom. Problem solved.

            Would not take long to do. I expect many people will do just this. We’re probably going to be one of the most commonly defederated-with Instances, just due to being the largest and thus, spammiest.

    • nexguy@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Was using RiF and reddit for 12 years. Been on lemmy for a few weeks and I don’t miss reddit. Certainly not going to try to use the official reddit app. So probably not using reddit even if I wanted to in the future.

  • Ben@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Hmmm the main question is whether it can get it’s content to show up in search results - this being the main selling point of Reddit and other platforms.

    Right now, if you help someone fix an issue it’s pretty much walled in and unavailable.

    • Snipe_AT@atay.dev
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      1 year ago

      agreed, is there any way to fix this?

      i’m fairly certain that it really just depends on the google web crawlers to find and index pages. but if the posts are public that’s just a matter of time.

      even with reddit, a post has a new URL so takes some time to be indexed by google or other search engines.

      so maybe it’s just a matter of delivering relevant content over time so that lemmy results get preferred over others

    • hbocao@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yeah, I was talking to my wife about this.

      Today I can search “whatever reddit”, but with Lemmy-like I have no idea how, since it’s not centralized.

      • what@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        This isn’t true. SEO has been optimized to find good content that engaged users. Long gone are the days of cramming together keyword lists and throwing a few meta tags to rank high. Write high quality (preferably long form) content and it will pay dividends.

        Source: I’ve worked in digital marketing too long.

  • Bleeping Lobster@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Two things to bear in mind…

    1. Lemmy existed before this current reddit fiasco, so it will exist after

    2. there are a critical mass of users now, and imo the userbase will continue to grow, with more and more unique content added

    3. Android / iOS apps are out, and in development. Mod tools are coming (iirc). As fediverse becomes less technical / easier to use, it’s only going to attract more people

  • sovietafro@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    If lemmy can get the search algorithm to work well, it’ll be good for a decent while I think… I hope for the sake of the internet everything needs to have some form of competition, and if Lemmy truly becomes the new reddit, hopefully we all learn what they did wrong and can make it better so that we as a collective have the best website/forum/memebase that’s humanly possible

  • Fubber Nuckin'@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Personal opinion: activity will spike around now, then plateau not much lower than its peak. It’ll probably never be as popular as Reddit. I imagine most people will run into some minor inconvenience, then never try to use it again, and the rest of us will be here for years.

    • sirnak@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I guess a big spike is still ahead, which will be around Saturday, once the 3rd party reddit apps shut down for good.

  • BlackCoffee@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Define “a few weeks”

    The blackout started 12-06 which is 2 + weeks ago.

    Lemmy and Kbin are still here and I see no sign of it slowing down. I see much more posts with more engagement which is a good thing.

  • YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    When Reddit forces “new Reddit” is when the real migration will occur. Reddit is dying more and more every day.

    • s38b35M5@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      But they promised us that old reddit isn’t going anywhere. Surely, we can trust that something won’t happen if they say it won’t happen, right?

      • morgan423@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        You can trust that it won’t happen in the next fifteen minutes, probably. I wouldn’t believe much further out than that.

        • s38b35M5@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          I think the 3PA devs got about four months, right?

          Reddit in January: we will not charge for the API. Not in the next few years, at least.

          Reddit in April: charges are coming, but they’ll be totally reasonable and based in reality

          Reddit in May: if you want to use the API, you should pay us 29x what we make from customers that don’t use it

  • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think Lemmy will ever get the mainstream attention that reddit has to get big celebrity AMAs, but that may be a good thing, if it stays a genuine place like it is currently, people will come.

    • 𝔼𝕩𝕦𝕤𝕚𝕒@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m leaning on content I’ve seen thus far but- If this becomes the place where content holds people, they will stay. To replace -the other site- Lemmy needs to be the place the general internet comes to for information and community questions. In this early stage people need to cement “this is where to come for answers” with regards to…everything. eli5, me-irl and even ask-reddit needs to come here. We joke about how Listicles hijack Reddit content but that’s a sign of healthy creation at work. It gets the average non-reddit user conscious of the product and to come there when they have a question.

      What needs to happen (if lemmy wants to replace Reddit) is lemmy needs that. It needs to enter the public conscience as an information nexus. To what degree is up for debate of each Instances admin. Beehaw straight said “nope”

  • hendrik@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I think people will vent and quite a decent percentage will return to reddit eventually. Like it happened with twitter since Elon did his thing. But lemmy will stay. It has been here before all the people migrated from reddit and the fediverse in general will keep having a right to exist. And it will.

    • rexxiteer@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      AFAIK, Mastodon actually did gain a sizeable amount of users that actually stayed, even though the number of users has dropped since the peak.

      I personally think something like Lemmy works better than Mastodon, since content is more important here than the users, which I think makes it more easy to have a self-sustaining community.

  • rtxn@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think it’ll die… but it is a community that needs to be built basically from the ground up, while both the Lemmy/fediverse backend technology and infrastructure are actively being developed. Reddit refugees who want a drop-in alternative to doomscroll will probably be the first to leave.

    The success or failure will be determined by the number of people willing to make an effort to post. Whether Lemmy (or the fediverse in general) will exceed the numbers of other services… I doubt it, but we wouldn’t be here if we only cared about numbers.