Summary
Trump’s popular vote share has fallen below 50% to 49.94%, with Kamala Harris at 48.26%, narrowing his margin of victory.
Trump’s share of the popular vote is lower than Biden’s in 2020 (51.3%), Obama’s in 2012 (51.1%) and 2008 (52.9%), George W. Bush’s in 2004 (50.7%), George H.W. Bush’s in 1988 (53.2%), Reagan’s in 1984 (58.8%) and 1980 (50.7%), and Carter’s in 1976 (50.1%).
The 2024 election results highlight Trump’s narrow victory and the need for Democrats to address their mistakes and build a diverse working-class coalition.
The numbers also give Democrats a reason to push back on Trump’s mandate claims, noting most Americans did not vote for him.
and the tariffs. And the isolationism, and the retraction from globalism. Plus his intent to move the fed under the control of the executive. Generally, all in all, a bad outlook.
it’s going to be an interesting four years for sure, and i have two litmus tests for how fucked we are. If the tariffs go through, we’re moderately fucked, and if the fed gets put under exec, we’re joever.